(MONEY Magazine) -- Instead of going with the pack or panicking at
every news headline, think before you sell (or buy) and you'll likely
reap much richer rewards.
Focusing on single investments rather than the big picture. Consequence: not being appropriately diversified
Concentrating on a short-term time horizon. Consequence: mistiming the market
Taking more risks when comfortable and less risks when not. Consequence: buying high, selling low
Taking actions in hopes of gaining control. Consequence: high fees from trading too frequently
Don't flee with the crowd. In
the past year nervous investors have pulled $170 billion out of stock
funds, while pouring money into bonds. But over all the 20-year rolling
periods since 1926, a 50/50 stock-bond portfolio -- what conservative
target-date funds suggest for near-retirees -- delivered annualized
returns of 8.7%, vs. 5.5% for a 100% long-term government bond
portfolio.
Avoid jumping in and out. Buying and selling on
the news is a sure path to sub-par returns. Market gains have tended to
come in short, sharp spurts. So by the time you realize an advance is
under way, the best of it is over.
Need proof? Let's say you
started out in 1996 with a $10,000 investment in an S&P 500 index
fund. If you left the money in the market, you'd have had $22,170 at the
end of 2011, based on Allianz returns data.
If you'd missed the
10 best trading days, you'd have $11,040. If you missed the 30 best
trading days, you'd only be left with $4,550. Better to stick it out in
the market. (Of course, if you missed the worst days you'd do pretty
well too -- but to time those, you'd have to be psychic.)
Ratchet down your ego. To
avoid the costs of being cocky, financial planner Carl Richards, author
of "The Behavior Gap," suggests second-guessing yourself. Ask: If I do
this and am right, what impact will it have? If I'm wrong? Have I been
wrong before?
Skip the flavor of the month. Last August,
when it felt as if the sky was falling after the debt-ceiling debacle
and the realization that Europe's crisis wouldn't be resolved quickly,
34% of Americans told Gallup that gold was the best long-term
investment. Stocks got just 17% of votes. Back then, gold was on a tear
and equities were tumbling.
Since
then, gold prices are down 10%, while the S&P 500 is up 10%. Longer
term, gold's performance is anything but shiny, while stocks have
delivered annualized gains of 9.8%. So close the browser and remind
yourself of your long-term plan.
Don't be so quick to erase the mortgage. While
paying off your credit card ASAP is Personal Finance 101, it's not
always better to pay off your home loan faster than needed.
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"Between
low rates and deductibility, there are better things to do with your
'extra' money," says T. Rowe Price planner Stuart Ritter.
If you
put an added $100 a month toward a $100,000, 30-year mortgage at 5%,
you'd pay the loan off in 21 years. But invest that $100 a month for 21
years with an annual return of 7%, and you'd have $57,000 enough to pay
off the remaining $45,000 loan balance, with a lot left over.
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